To simplify a complicated story, a former very senior MI-6 agent named Christopher Steele was hired by a group of former journalists, including Glenn Simpson of the Wall Street Journal, to monitor and investigate Russian involvement in the U.S. elections and connections to Donald Trump. The result was a rolling compilation of detailed and salacious reports regarding the President-elect and his dealings with Russia. Most explosively, these reports included the details that the Russian government has what they call “kompromat” or compromising information, on Trump in the form of recordings (audio and visual) of Trump enjoying some… irregular entertainments at the Ritz-Carlton during a 2013 trip to Moscow. Compiling this sort of compromising or embarrassing material is, according to intelligence experts, a common tactic of the Russian government, especially under the leadership of Vladimir Putin. This report has been one of the worst kept secrets in Washington since it was made about a week before the election, but this week it was finally published in full by Buzzfeed News. While Buzzfeed is quick to point out that these reports were unverified, the intelligence community – including the unanimous heads of the CIA, NSA, CIA, and FBI — conducted their own review and determined they were credible enough to brief President Obama (POTUS), President-elect Trump (PE-OTUS) and certain members of Congress on the content. The most senior briefings received the full treatment and the report drafted by Steele was attached to the full briefs for review. Beyond the compromising materials, the report also alleges that representatives of the Trump campaign met with Russian operatives to discuss the Russians’ hacking and leaking of emails and documents from the Democratic National Committee and from Mrs. Clinton’s campaign chairman, John D. Podesta. While Trump was briefed by top intelligence officials on the existence of these reports, he has both denied their authenticity and, strangely, that he was ever informed of their existence. It probably goes without saying that if even a small portion of these reports become verified, it would be an unprecedented scandal and likely a constitutional crisis that a winning Presidential campaign conspired with a foreign government to change the outcome of the election, possibly under the duress of blackmail. While the details have caused snickers in the cloakroom, the ramifications are causing sleepless nights for some on both sides of the aisle.
On Wednesday, Donald Trump gave his first press conference since being elected president. In standard fashion, the President-Elect spent seemingly as much time attacking press outlets as he did answering questions about the policies his administration will pursue once sworn in. Much of that anger was directed toward Buzzfeed for publishing the already-mentioned memos on their website. Aside from calling the news site a “failing pile of garbage,” and shouting down a CNN reporter by calling the respected cable news broadcaster “fake news”, Trump defended himself from the claims in the memos by saying that he is a “germaphobe,” presumably meaning that he would not have participated in the activities described in the report. Aside from this lurid detail, Trump also outlined his plan for avoiding conflicts of interest and possible violations of Article 1, Section 6, Clause 2 of the Constitution (Ineligibility or “Emoluments” Clause) stemming from ownership of his company while he serves as President. The plan, however, does not include divesting from his business interests, only handing over management to his adult sons and a Trump corporation paid “ethics adviser.” This remedy to the massive conflicts he will face once inaugurated, including what the preponderance of experts consider to be a violation on the Emoluments Clause on day one, was immediately panned by every ethics expert available for comment, including the sitting, non-partisan director of the US Office of Government Ethics and the former chief White House ethics lawyer for President George W. Bush. Trump seems unconcerned with this obvious trouble spot, however, and even used the fact that he was offered (but turned down) a $2 billion deal in Dubai just last week as evidence of his moral rectitude. “I turned it down,” Trump said. “I didn’t have to turn it down.” Which it should be pointed out is exactly the point of the Emoluments Clause – that a foreign government should not be able to offer private benefit to the President of the United States that could compromise duties in office or gain favor. But, hey, what a win-win for Dubai, right? They now clearly have Trump’s favor, and even got to keep their $2BB. Huge.
Meanwhile, on the Hill, hearings for a number of Trump’s cabinet picks got underway this week. During his hearings for Attorney General, Senator Jeff Sessions of Alabama appeared to acquit himself well in front of a panel of his pears. Sessions went into these hearings knowing that Democratic members would be looking very closely at his record on civil rights, the issue that lead to his not being confirmed as a federal judge by the same body back in 1986. Sessions said he did not support the bans on Muslims that Trump has floated and said he would resign “before ultimately agreeing to execute a policy the attorney general believes to be unlawful and unconstitutional.” He also acknowledged the mounting and seemingly indisputable evidence that Russia was behind the hacks on the DNC and they did so to help Trump’s candidacy. Despite breaking with Trump a number of times during his testimony (something that was a bit of a motif during hearings this week), Sessions was clearly prepared for the event and, even if he had not been, Senatorial courtesy likely means that he would have sailed through any confirmation vote regardless. One matter of note on Senatorial courtesy however, was that sitting U.S. Senator Corey Booker (D-NJ) broke from tradition, along with sitting Congressman and civil rights icon Rep. John Lewis (D-GA), by giving testimony against Sessions. Booker and Lewis, both made their decision to provide testimony on their deep fear of an erosion of hard fought civil rights for individuals who are not Caucasian, male, or of Christian faith.
Former Exxon CEO Rex Tillerson, on the other hand, does not enjoy the same leg up and did not do himself many favors during his hearing. To many, he seemed ill-prepared for the questions from many Senators, but none more so than Florida Republican Marco Rubio. Tillerson hedged on Rubio’s question on whether Russia was behind the hacks, declined to characterize Putin a war criminal, and did not commit to supporting sanctions on Russia. Tillerson also denied having lobbied against the sanctions on Russia during his time running Exxon, despite the clear evidence that he had. He even went a step further, saying “to my knowledge, Exxon never directly lobbied against sanctions.” This lead to a strange exchange as Senator Bob Corker from Tennessee, chairman of the committee, commented that “I think you called me at the time [Russia sanctions were being debated].” Publicly available lobbying disclosure reports from Exxon clearly show that they did lobby congress on the sanctions, so I am not sure what Tillerson was trying to do at this point. Under Tillerson, Exxon had struck about 10 deals with Putin’s government to explore Russian oil, valued at hundreds of millions of dollars. With Rubio clearly skeptical about Tillerson, his nomination is clearly in jeopardy. Senators John McCain and Lindsay Graham have already expressed their reservations on the pick, and just those three will be enough to sink him if they chose to do so.
Legislatively, the House and Senate began their process to repeal the Affordable Care Act (Obamacare) by using the budget process known as reconciliation. The first step was to actually pass a 2017 budget with instructions to authorizing committees to report legislation that would repeal their respective portions of the ACA. Consider this Act I, Scene II of a very long play about to unfold. There continues to be growing turmoil among rank and file GOP Members about the timing and content of the “Repeal and Replace” strategy, especially on the details of what the “Replace” part might look like. It appears those pages of the GOP plan continue to be relatively blank and, as noted last week, impacts close to one-third of the entire U.S. economy.
Here’s a look at some of the top political stories of the week:
- President-elect Donald J. Trump on Wednesday conceded for the first time that Russia had carried out cyberattacks against the two major political parties during the presidential election, but he angrily rejected unsubstantiated reports that Moscow had gathered compromising personal and financial information about him that could be used for extortion. In a chaotic news conference in the lobby of Trump Tower in Manhattan nine days before he is to be sworn in as the nation’s 45th president, Mr. Trump compared United States intelligence officials to Nazis, sidestepped repeated questions about whether he or anyone in his presidential campaign had had contact with Russia during the campaign, and lashed out at the news media and political opponents, arguing that they were out to get him. (New York Times)
- Donald Trump’s plan to shift management of his businesses to his sons doesn’t go nearly far enough to address conflict-of-interest concerns, former presidential ethics lawyers say. At his press conference on Wednesday, Trump announced he will be turning over the management of the Trump Organization to his adult sons, Donald Jr. and Eric. Though they must make decisions without the input or knowledge of the president-elect, he will retain ownership of the company. “I could actually run my business and run government at the same time,” Trump said. “I don’t like the way that looks, but I would be able to do that if I wanted to.” Former White House ethics lawyer Norman Eisen, who served under President Obama, said Trump plan doesn’t even come close to meeting legal requirements. (NPR)
- Thirty-one years after the Senate Judiciary Committee shot down Jeff Sessions’s hopes of becoming a federal judge, he faced the panel again—and emerged largely undamaged. After more than 10 hours, round upon round of questions, and a host of noisy interruptions from protesters yelling about fascism and the KKK, one thing is sure: Sessions’s road to the attorney general’s office is as clear as ever. (Daily Beast)
- Critics of Rex Tillerson pounced on Wednesday when he categorically denied that ExxonMobil lobbied against sanctions placed on Russia or Iran. “I never lobbied against the sanctions. To my knowledge, ExxonMobil never lobbied against the sanctions,” Tillerson said during Wednesday’s confirmation hearing for his nomination to be secretary of state. Democrats quickly seized on the issue, questioning whether Tillerson may have lied under oath. In a letter reported first by CNN, the Democratic-aligned opposition research group American Bridge 21st Century is asking FBI Director James Comey to investigate whether Tillerson may have perjured himself. (CNN)
- The U.S. Senate took the first major step toward repealing the Affordable Care Act after a marathon voting session that started Wednesday evening and extended into early Thursday. The vote does not repeal President Obama’s signature achievement, but it does set the stage for Republicans to clear the first procedural hurdle for repeal of the massive health care law. The bill will now go to the House of Representatives for a vote expected to take place on Friday. (NBC News)
- Weekly schedules:
- Although not yet released at the time of publication, the weekly legislative schedule for the House will be posted.
- Although not yet released at the time of publication, the weekly Senate schedule will be available.
- Although not yet released at the time of publication, the President’s daily schedule will be posted.
- Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is no friend of the media. Since an attempted coup against him in July, he has jailed at least 144 journalists and shuttered or seized control of more than 150 media companies, according to Human Rights Watch. Now he is praising President-elect Donald Trump for his aggressive tone toward American news media.
- President-elect Donald J. Trump dismissed Meryl Streep as “a Hillary lover” early Monday morning after the actress, in a speech at the Golden Globes award ceremony, denounced him as a bully who disrespected and humiliated others.
- A top aide to President-elect Donald Trump indicated Monday that he could revisit hacking-related sanctions imposed on Russia by President Obama. After calling the sanctions on Russia a “disproportionate response,” former campaign manager and incoming White House adviser Kellyanne Conway said she thought that he would assess the situation after he’s inaugurated.
- Jared Kushner will become a senior White House adviser to his father-in-law, Donald J. Trump, cementing the New York real estate executive’s role as a powerful and at times decisive influence on the president-elect. Some ethics experts have questioned whether the appointment will be legal under federal anti-nepotism laws designed to prevent family ties from influencing the functioning of the United States government.
- President-elect Donald J. Trump personally intervened to oust the Republican Party chairman in Ohio who had opposed his campaign.
- Emerging from a 90-minute briefing with the nation’s intelligence chiefs, Mr. Trump issued a statement acknowledging the hacking of “the cyber-infrastructure of our governmental institutions, businesses and organizations including the Democrat National Committee.” But he said it had “absolutely no effect on the outcome of the election.”
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr. told members of his environmental group late Wednesday that he expects to temporarily leave it to chair a vaccine safety commission he has been discussing with President-elect Donald Trump and his aides for over a month. Kennedy, who’s pushed the widely discredited link between vaccines and autism for years, announced the commission Tuesday after a meeting at Trump Tower.
- House Republicans have found a subject for their opening review of conflicts of interest under Donald Trump: the federal official in charge of investigating conflicts of interest. Rep. Jason Chaffetz, the head of the House Oversight Committee, criticized the director of the federal Office of Government Ethics on Thursday over his criticism of Donald Trump’s plan to address conflicts of interest. And he threatened to subpoena the official, Walter Shaub, if he refuses to participate in an official interview.
- Senate Republican leaders agreed to postpone two high-profile confirmation hearings scheduled for Wednesday for cabinet nominees of President-elect Donald Trump. The moves — one announced late Monday and the second early Tuesday — came in response to Democratic complaints that too many hearings for key nominees were planned for that day.
- Big business and congressional Republicans salivate at the idea of gutting the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, the brainchild of Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.). Now, President-elect Donald Trump is moving toward what they’ve long wanted: a weak agency that sides with financial predators over consumers.
- Emerging as Mr. Obama’s chief collaborator and proxy is Eric H. Holder Jr., the former attorney general of the United States and a personal friend of the president. He has signed on to lead the National Democratic Redistricting Committee, a newly formed political group aimed at untangling the creatively drawn districts that have helped cement the Republican Party in power in Washington and many state capitals.
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